Description: Estimation of hazard rates at extremely old ages poses serious challenges to researchers: 1 The observed mortality deceleration may be at least partially an artifact of mixing different birth cohorts with different mortality heterogeneity effect 2 Standard assumptions of hazard rate estimates may be invalid when risk of death is extremely high at old ages 3 Ages of very old people may be exaggerated. In this paper we propose an alternative approach, which gives an opportunity to resolve the first two problems by compiling data for more homogeneous single-year birth cohorts with hazard rates measured at narrow monthly age intervals. Possible ways of resolving the third problem of hazard rate estimation were elaborated.

Description: Feature article from the January 2010 issue of In The Public Interest discussing whether or not the retirement age needs to be increased.

Description: Estimation of hazard rates at extremely old ages poses serious challenges to researchers: 1 The observed mortality deceleration may be at least partially an artifact of mixing different birth cohorts with different mortality heterogeneity effect 2 Standard assumptions of hazard rate estimates may be invalid when risk of death is extremely high at old ages 3 Ages of very old people may be exaggerated. In this paper we propose an alternative approach, which gives an opportunity to resolve the first two problems by compiling data for more homogeneous single-year birth cohorts with hazard rates measured at narrow monthly age intervals. Possible ways of resolving the third problem of hazard rate estimation were elaborated.

Description: This paper explores how change in societal forces can affect the systems for providing security including private pensions, social security, life insurance and health insurance. The societal forces examined are changes in family, role of women, inflation and the age composition of population. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1978, Vol. 30.

Description: This paper recommends a 'macroview' of the Social Security program that is related to the broader economic and social environment now and in the future. OASDI is not simply a private-sector pension plan on a large scale. Instead, it provides socially determined claims on the future economy. Demography cannot be ignored, but it is not the sole determinant of what is desirable or affordable. From The Old-Age Crisis - Actuarial Opportunities -The 1996 Bowles Symposium, M-RS99-1.

Description: Read the August 2017 issue of In The Public Interest published by the Social Insurance & Public Finance Section.

Description: This session from the 1976 SOA Fall Meeting is about the comparison of social security systems in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia and New Zealand, the relationship between social security and private pension plans, and the contrast of Canadian and European governmental medical insurance programs to the continuing controversy in the United States over government health insurance.

Description: This paper presents an analysis indicating that an asset level of 50 to 105 percent of annual OASDI expenditures generally would be sufficient to cover the effects of adverse economic conditions for about 5 to 10 years. A discussion of this paper is included.

Description: The author proposes an adjustment to the automatic benefit increase formula to reflect discrepancies between the CPI and wage inflation.

Description: This article provides comments on some of the economic and demographic forecasts in the 1976 OASDI Report Social Security.